Showing posts with label goals/predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label goals/predictions. Show all posts

Sunday, January 4, 2009

The plan for 2009

“The farther back you can look, the farther forward you are likely to see.” —Winston Churchill

The previous year is likely to have the most potent bearing on performance development, followed by the season before that, and so on; each is built on the one immediately prior, and 2008 was a good campaign in which training went smoothly through the winter months, but was disrupted by a 3-week fight with a severe infection in May that left me weakened and 5.5 kg lighter (from 71.5 to 66 kg, a 7.7% loss). Training resumed on June 1 and proceeded consistently for the rest of the annual cycle (i.e., through Thanksgiving), leading to a reduction in 5K PR from 22:40 to 21:18, an improvement of 6%. The illness turned out to be a blessing in disguise, as the weight loss became permanent, and translated into an almost equivalent increase in performance velocity, therefore there was likely no significant improvement in absolute aerobic power. Volume totals for the year were 162 hours/1180 miles, in 262 workouts.

2007 was the first full year of dedicated running, but with a long break from January 29 – May 14 due to an adductor strain. Volume came to 93.8 hours/685 miles in 170 workouts.

In 2006, training was more or less continuous from July 5 through December 3, with a 2-week break due to sharp lower left leg pain at the end of September, which left as mysteriously as it had appeared. The totals were 50.45 hours/371.2 miles in 92 workouts.

Performance benchmarks for these years were

2006
5K – 22:40 (11/23)
5M – n/a
13.1 miles – n/a

2007
5, 000m (track) – 21:56 (11/19)
5M – 39:11 (9/1)
13.1 miles – n/a

2008
5K – 21:18 (10/26, 11/27)
5M – 36:15 (8/30)
13.1 miles – n/a

For 2009, I plan on essentially repeating the 2008 program (a watered-down version of the Lydiard method), but without any sickness, the aerobic conditioning (base) phase could be finished by June. Then will come ~3 weeks of hill training, followed by 2-3 weeks of anaerobic capacity training (interval training on the track, e.g. 10 x 400 meters). This will lead to a peak for some of the local 5K and 5-mile runs in September. After that, perhaps a half-marathon in November.

Two changes from 2009 are planned:

1. For the base phase, a new pattern of 4 days on/1 day off. 6 days straight with 1 day of rest tend to leave me somewhat fatigued, while 5 on/2 off (with the rest days either consecutive or interspersed among the 5 “on” days – which is the same as 3 on/1 off, 2 on/1 off) seems too easy. 4 on/1 off represents a middle ground, an average of 5.6 runs per week.

2. Add some variety in week 3 of the anaerobic capacity training period – after 2 weeks of 10 x 300m workouts (each 48 hrs. apart), either move straight to ‘sharpeners’ (100m on/100m off windsprints), or else some longer intervals (e,g, 6 x 800m). Last year, the same-old same-old became a bit too much by the third week.

The goal-predictions for 2009 are

5K – 20:40
5M – 34:30
13.1 miles – 1:37-1:39